Emerging technology adoption – Gartner

by admin on August 13, 2006

in General

Gartnerhype-1

If you’ve not seen a Gartner Hype Cycle chart before then it’s worth reading this explanation (scroll toward the end.)

What struck me is that mashup, folksonomies, AJAX and corporate blogging, while on their way to the so-called trough of disillusionment are expected to become mainstream in less than 2 years. RSS Enterprise and wikis are thought to become mainstream in the next 2-5 years. I find the latter prediction out of whack with the others, especially as RSS is such a fundamental part of the next iteration of Windows and serves as a corner stone to so many of the lightweight application integrations I anticipate seeing in the next 1-2 years.

Of course us accounting types tend to lag behind technology adoption cycles but maybe it’ll be a but different this time around?

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