Irony 2.0

by admin on March 19, 2008

in General,Humour

I don’t know about you but it seems to me there’s an odd irony that in the week following the Bear Stearns firesale to JP Morgan Chase for $236 million, a startup that makes widget style applications for Facebook is rumoured to being punted at a valuation of $400 million.

I leave it to the financial geniuses among my readers to figure out the logical separation between those two transactions.

In the meantime, I recommend reading what Jeff Nolan says about IT investments. He’s right. To Jeff: I apologize in advance for riffing the 2.0 moniker for the purpose of a spurious headline. 

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Perhaps VC community needs to learn from the FED how to value an opportunity and create true value. :-)

In fact that these 2 examples point toward extreme volatility in the markets, at both ends emerging and established. Such volatility is also the markets own way to correct it's own instability (its where positive feedback cause the markets to bounce of an overvalued virtual roof vaulue).

Unfortunately the FED is in the market machinery furiously fiddling with the buttons and cogs trying to stabilise it from the outside, I just hope they don't make it worse.

The market needs to eliminate chaff resulting from the moronic greed and laziness of the enterprise financial sectors. I also believe this same business disease goes way beyond the financial sector into many house hold name enterprises. I hope the rout extends to eliminate these monoliths, or at least devalue them to make way for emerging businesses delivering new real value.

Not that I'm opinionated on this subject of course ;-)
regards
Al

Heh, some rough calculations:

Two FaceBook centric startups - RockYou and Slide valued at 1 bn combined, you want 25% return, the guys manages 30% margin -> they need about 850 mill annual advertising sales or about 10-15% of the non-Google pie world wide. A sure-fire investment obviously as they have almost no competition being funded by the same at the same time using arguments that others got that valuation.

So glad I'm in the Enterprise space :)

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