Just when you thought it couldn't get crazier

by admin on October 1, 2008

in General,Tax and Ethics

Courtesy of the Washington Post which amply demonstrates a solid lack of understanding about ‘value’ in accounting comes this pearl. The SEC and FASB are allegedly modifying the ‘mark to market‘ rules to allow distressed banks to take into account ‘other factors’ when reviewing their toxic assets. WashPo says this:

An odd-sounding accounting phrase at the heart of this is something called “mark-to-market” accounting. Many think that if this requirement were ended, the crises could be eased…

…The root problem now is that financial institutions have been caught holding value-less, or “toxic,” assets on their books, such as the mortgage-backed securities based on sub-prime mortgages that have defaulted.

The government believes that those assets will be worth something soon — that’s why they want to buy them in the $700 billion Wall Street rescue plan. But under mark-to-market rules currently required, they are worth almost nothing, threatening those who hold them with insolvency.

If the holders could place a value on the assets equal to the estimated value they should bring in the future, suddenly the balance sheets of these financial institutions would look a lot healthier.

What ‘other factors’ might that be? If there is no market for assets, they have no value. It doesn’t get much simpler than that. Does it? According to FASB, future anticipated cash flows can be taken into consideration with adjustments for appropriate risk factors. That seems fair enough except that the complexity of the assets the banks hold makes it extremely difficult to fathom the ‘pieces’ to which the issuers are entitled. Unravelling that alone is a migraine sized headache. It’s not something that auditors are qualified to assess.

The US government ISN’T buying the toxic assets because they think they have some worth. They’re buying them in an attempt to free up the ossified arteries of the US banking system. In its defence, WashPos says this sounds like ‘voodoo accounting.’ Darned right. I can see the sympathy vote piling up already. Not here.

Here is the link to the FASB press release (PDF) – which is about as transparent as milk.

Update: Reuters is reporting that 60 lawmakers are appealing for a suspension of the mark to market rule. More genius thinking.

Reblog this post [with Zemanta]
Comments have been disabled for this post.
Sort: Newest | Oldest

Another great migraine article! I always like read your blog so I always come back for more.

@ed: I'm not sure it's quite as clear cut as you say but even if the market was 'free'er' than it is now, there is no guarantee that those asset values would rise significantly. However, what you imply about the short term market effects is interesting. As always, we'll have to wait and see.

Neil - I agree with your comment that as long as government is willing to go along with a bail out that there is no free market solution because there is not incentive. This is the morale hazard that very few people are talking about.

Dennis - There is no market because there is no access. If there were access the market would solve the problem. I personally would pay .50 on the dollar for as much of these securities as I could afford. (I would even mortgage my house.) My point is that we do not have ACCESS. The a-holes in Washington have blocked access and now say they are the only solution. Of course, the way they play the game there can be no other (free market) solution.

I don't think I'm missing this at all. If there is no market then there is no value. It really doesn't matter about the underlying asset. In this case it isn't just sub-prime but the sliced and diced derivative trades where no-one's really sure what they own.

Dennis, I've been waiting for someone to say this! Nearly wrote it myself!

Ed, I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that 80% of subprime mortgages will default in certain securities. I agree there's a free market solution, but as long as the bailout is a possibility, the institutions aren't going to seek one.

I think your missing part of the point on this. In my (albeit) limited understanding of this, these companies are forced to value these securities at a value clearly below what the would really be worth.

For example, one company (I think it was Merrill) had to price these at 22 cents on the dollar. For ease of math, let's call it 20 cents. This would mean that for the mortgages (there would be thousands of them) in this security 4 of 5 would have to foreclose AND the asset would be reclaimed at zero. I find this hard to believe.

In fact, if I could I would be buying these securities at 40 cents right now! The problem is that there is a perception that on the gov't can come up with the cash to do this. My opinion is that there is a free market solution to this crisis. Let's the companies actually sell these off at an auction. My bet they would go for close to 75 cents on the dollar in the open market.

Previous post:

Next post: