For once I disagree with Francine

by admin on April 14, 2009

in General

I admire the way Francine McKenna keeps focused on the Big Four and their deficiencies but I disagree with her first central thesis that avoiding RIF could come by:

Refocus on the true client – the shareholders and investors of the public firm

It’s the ‘shareholders and investors’ where I have an issue. Francine has not defined who these are except by reference to a 1984 Supreme Court definition though she acknowledges that the US (and UK) taxpayer is part of that group. Including the taxpayer changes the dynamic of what it means to be an investor, broadening the scope to include a social dimension that cannot be avoided. As she says:

The client, the shareholder, is often now the taxpayer.

And the taxpayers are mad as hell.

The taxpayer is not motivated in the same way as the traditional shareholding investor. There isn’t the same sense of ownership because among other things, as a taxpayer, you don’t get a share certificate, nor a copy of the annual accounts. Instead, you entrust the stewardship to management that is accountable to the government on the taxpayer’s behalf.

Second, the 1984 case was determined in a different era where the training to which Francine refers was meant to provide an unspoken moral compass driven by the concept of the profession as a vocation. By her own detailed accounts, Francine will know, as do many of us who critique the worst excesses, those days are long gone. At least for the partners at the top who seem more driven by sales than any attention to client affairs.

There are other problems that need addressing. Past attempts at making this system of public ownership work have been fraught with problem. In the UK, that was largely because the regulations under which publicly owned bodies were audited was very different to that of the business community. The needs of one group are not necessarily aligned to the needs of the other. As far as I can tell, there doesn’t seem to be a plan in place to resolve that issue and even if there was, recent events indicate that government is far from qualified to make proposals upon which the profession can rely.

That leaves us in a dangerous no-man’s land where guidance is thin on the ground, just at a time where – in the US at least – there is an intention to bring sweeping changes to the way accounts are drawn. This last problem could be alleviated through a fresh sharing of intelligence among the Big Four from Europe. They’ve been through the IFRS mill and know what’s involved. That alone would send a strong message that they’re serious about operating globally rather than as the rag bag of partnerships that happen to trade under the same name. It would allow knowledge transfer and a possible creation of centres of expertise upon which the profession as a whole might draw. Whether that is feasible is another matter. If Francine’s analysis is correct then the chaotic state of the Big Four alone would suggest there is a mountain to climb. Even then, there is no guarantee that the Big Four could avoid RIF.

Francine and I have discussed the potential for the emergence of a new style of audit firm. ‘Old school’ ethics, an attention to modern technology practices and a commitment to greater rigour and oversight in some of the key audit processes could act as differentiators. But…there needs to be a different framework that sets a different tone for what it means to ‘audit.’ A continuation tempered by the current climate is not enough. You can bet that as soon as the economy turns, the old ways will return. In my view, Francine’s definition of ‘the client’ is incomplete in the current climate and needs review.

One of Francine’s commenters makes the observation that:

The irony here is that SOX and all the post-enron regs have actually had the OPPOSITE effect-some years ago these firms were actually in the business of -looking out for the shareholders of public companies

I’ve never been convinced of that argument though I’m aware that many see SOX as a significant dampener to investment. What I do see though is a rules based system that is fundamentally flawed. While you can never stop determined fraudsters – as Satyam has amply demonstrated – you can operate a system where the exercise of judgment means something of value. That is far different from systems that implicitly encourage workarounds designed to present the most optimistic of results instead of reality. Or, to put it bluntly – if there are rules, you can be sure someone will try break them.

That is independent of the ownership issue but core to the way in which audit is undertaken. It requires an altogether different skill set that in theory at least, depends on a deep understanding of business segments and practices that has to be shared with those on the ground.

Until very recently, I’ve not been an advocate of liability caps and even now I am not entirely sure. But…if auditors are to commit to a set of principles that encompass the exercise of judgment, then protection is needed. The US and UK are way too litigious for my taste. Daytime TV in both countries is littered with adverts for lawyers willing to sue anybody and anything. It’s insane and has to be stopped. You can’t expect people to honestly follow a vocation while at the same time holding the sledgehammer of the law over them. the current climate creates an atmosphere of attrition that is unhealthy and unhelpful.

However, you can insist on a quality of audit that allows for a reasonable level of certainty. I know all the arguments about sloppy lawmaking but if the problem isn’t addressed then the profession remains at risk even under the best scenarios. Embracing that within the laws and regulatory framework would encourage a higher level of skills required to conduct an audit. In turn, that would require investment by the firms. Something in which they have been sorely lacking.

If the banking meltdown has taught us anything it is that putting a freshly minted MBA up against PhD’s who think in statistical algorithms is a non-starter. Where needed, the profession has to be far smarter in its exercise of judgment, drafting in subject matter experts where appropriate. While that might temporarily complicate the audit process, there is no reason why this form of collaboration should not enhance reputation. After all, it is better to say: “I don’t know” and find someone who does than turn a blind eye and hope that you don’t get caught out.

All that could go by the board as the economy contracts and the general sense that 20% RIF should be the norm becomes a reality. I am for example aware that ICAEW is watching very closely to see what happens in the summer recruitment season. All indications are that contrary to what usually happens in a recession, the Big Four won’t be recruiting in large numbers. If recruitment is substantially reduced then continued RIF will likely be unavoidable.

In closing I could be pre-empting some of what Francine has to say about the solutions she believes are appropriate but since we’ve not had that discussion, I don’t know. Even so, I believe her arguments miss an opportunity to explore the deeper issues that beset the profession operating in a world where it is far from clear what finance and audit will mean going forward.

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@dennis

In the US, reports from Deloitte, EY, and KPMG of demoting and cutting partners. At PwC of telling partners there will be cuts in pay, profits. Audit, tax and forensics/investigations all hit. At Deloitte, they have also cut staff up to senior manager on the consulting side. Projects slow, reduced scope and squeeze on fees in the ERP implementation side. All the while PwC and Deloitte are planning on adding buying BearingPoint and adding more people and ongoing business to their mix.

@francine: I hear that Deloitte is being decimated on the consulting side, largely because of their reliance on the fin servs sector. No exact numbers. Curiously, Salesforce.com is doing roaring business with boutique consult and make firms.

@krupo: I know some incredibly bright (admittedly not that many) investment analysts who have come to distrust the audit and the underlying figures.

@francine: I'm not surprised but let's see what the recruitment numbers look like come fall? One question for you: what are the layers of 'fat' looking like? In RIFs elsewhere, I'm seeing VPs cut out which I would equate to senior(ish) peeps.

That's the key value-added point. Develop a reputation for figures which *can* be trusted... :p

@krupo I agree, not everyone is "bleeding" clients but everyone is seeing compression either in volume or fees or both. It's just that it is very geographically and practice specific, but with a more broad impact in some firms than others.

@dennis I don't agree that a reduction in recruitment will mean a continuation of RIFs. A desire to achieve a profit objective and no other idea of how to achieve it will mean continued RIFs. I am seeing more experienced and higher level staff and management being asked to "temporarily" do lower level work. The hardest hit in the RIFS are the 1-5 year staff. It's ludicrous but true. Only now, in the last few months have we seen cuts at the manager and partner level and a reduction of the pipeline from universities. They're not cutting managers and partners because they have fewer to supervise but because they are desperate to maintain prior payouts and have not achieved that by cutting the newest, greenest, least expensive shoots. The challenge with reducing the pipeline from universities is it takes so long to have an effect and then takes so long to start up again. Hence their hesitations to tinker with it.

And finally, I agree with using brute force to effect change in the overall model, in this case. Unfortunately, I am not Queen. I am only sounding the trumpet, clanging a bell, and generally making a nuisance of myself until they must act as we wish, if only to shut me up. I think losing my voice is more likely.

Dennis, Your comments are, as always, thoughtful and thorough.

My comments and suggestions, as noted in the original post's caveats, are limited to the Big 4 and their audits of publicly listed companies. As such, their clients, true clients, are defined in a strict sense as the shareholders and investors of the company, and perhaps more broadly as the stakeholders. For those companies that are now significantly owned by the state, the "shareholders" are also taxpayers and do have different objectives than traditional shareholders and investors. Which is why I have already advocated that the Big 4 and other private audit firm partnerships should be no longer the auditors of these firms. The state should take over and "audit" or provide assurance with the taxpayer's interests in mind.

Just want to point you to my caveat on all of this from the original post of last week where I said,

"This blog has discussed the general lack of purpose, the worthlessness of the current audit opinion for public companies. Another completely different approach is needed, in my opinion, to protect shareholders and investors in public companies than the current product, especially when the shareholder/investor is the taxpayer as has occurred in the recent investments in AIG, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Citigroup, GM, etc. But for the purpose of this discussion, we will assume the Big 4 need to keep doing what they’re doing, but more successfully, profitably, with their current staff rather than cutting their nose (their staff) to spite their face (maintain partner profits in the short term.) A bigger set of propositions includes government control of audits of companies taxpayers are significantly invested in, utilizing a Service Corp for Accountability and Transparency made up of the professionals the firms are irresponsibly shedding. "

So I agree. Any discussion of trying to fix the lack of leadership within the current model is, to a large extent, an exercise in futility. But the necessary changes we do agree on will not and are not happening overnight and face enormous resistance. In the meantime, I am responding to thousands of comments on the blog and off the blog questioning me regarding what can be done now, what can one do now, what should one do now to respond to the fact the firms are cutting thousands today.

My next post will delve into more of the operational issues that plague the planning, forecasting, recruiting, retention and incentives process and their relationship to the business development and engagement management process. There again, there are things that can and should be done differently now to both fully utilize resources that are available and serve clients better. Stay tuned.

@francine - yes of course and as you will have seen, I specifically sidestepped some of the arguments you've popped into the comment. My concern is that the public ownership issue really does change things in a way we've not seen and I wonder what can be done to address that both for the short and long term.

Resistance should be expected but not tolerated. In times like this, collegiate methods of management don't work. It is harsh but sometimes 'my way or the highway' is the correct strategy.

One aspect that is interesting is the sense of betrayal among the ranks. That alone could give rise to new types of firm that are compassed in a different fashion.

The bogeyman surely though is: "Any discussion of trying to fix the lack of leadership within the current model is, to a large extent, an exercise in futility." Is there a choice but to fix this through brute force? If not then a return to the status quo would seem almost inevitable.

The other point that skipped my mind earlier, which you've now jogged, is the idea that public ownership is a huge challenge.

I say, "meh" - yes, it's different, but many big 4 do special attest/audit work for the public sector, or specified procedures. There's a delicious set of CICA standards that float to mind. I've been on a few such jobs - is Canada really that socialist compared to you guys? Hmm... unlikely, I think, though. :)

I see this across 2 dimensions - one is the public ownership 'issue' ie - what are the new ground rules? The 2nd is what opportunities does this present to reshape what it means to audit? The status quo has been disrupted so that should be a wake up call.

Given all the attention to issues around corruption and fraud, you can be sure the NGOs see this as a golden opportunity to push for radical change and especially transparency. They're pushing very hard right now and using the sustainability argument as a lever.

Ever since I was in university (and undoubtedly for many years past as well!) there's been a call to reshape what it means to audit.

But, I mean, then you study a course that teaches you how to read - properly READ - a financial statement, and you realize, maybe the problem isn't poor audits, but poor literacy on the part of the purportedly expert readers of said reports? :p

I do agree that there's a huge appeal around a complete shake-up behind this whole "we didn't find anything that we didn't expect to find" way of reporting, but there may also be more subtle, simpler solutions which can get the job done with less upheaval and ennui.

Now to figure out what those subtle and simple solutions are, and we'll be done.

"If recruitment is substantially reduced then continued RIF will likely be unavoidable."

Let me fix that for you:

"If recruitment is not substantially reduced then continued RIF will likely be unavoidable."

In an environment where turnover is low, if firms stop recruiting, the staffing model starts to bulge with less young staff hired because more of the experienced staff stay onboard instead of jumping at new opportunities.

If they reduce recruitment, they don't need the RIF. If RIF continues/increases (or "normal" turnover returns to remove the need for RIF) then recruiting can stay high.

Disagree - the theory sounds right but if there are less people to supervise then RIF continues. These are not normal times. I would have expected there to be a better pool of candidates from which to choose in this climate but if the people are not around to do the essential overseeing then it's hard to see how they can justify onboarding. As always - we'll have to see what happens.

I see where you're coming from - this assumes a company is bleeding clients/engagements though... not everyone is, thankfully.

On the basis of what I see among industries looking at RIF, 20% is the common marker. How much is rescue work up at your firm?

Good question - I do know it's up though.

What matters in my own personal bubble, anyway, is that my slow season is now over. Though it didn't real feel all that slow. :p

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